Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.857359 1.082958 1.334344 1.632296 1.972887 2.347290 2.787163
2025-06-15 0.574204 0.869596 1.237010 1.714135 2.304113 2.997243 3.860415
2025-06-22 0.382294 0.700622 1.142170 1.765091 2.588083 3.607342 4.933669
2025-06-29 0.249376 0.562336 1.047533 1.787296 2.823173 4.163846 5.971006
2025-07-06 0.150302 0.433314 0.929350 1.747388 2.957995 4.588811 6.856224
2025-07-13 0.095533 0.355049 0.866384 1.769716 3.169242 5.115674 7.887608
2025-07-20 0.058695 0.291110 0.808391 1.784666 3.361899 5.618231 8.898732
2025-07-27 0.030841 0.225000 0.725063 1.740041 3.453296 5.975309 9.718175
2025-08-03 0.014587 0.173181 0.652314 1.697997 3.538016 6.318751 10.522559
2025-08-10 0.006929 0.141322 0.612776 1.707898 3.701810 6.779025 11.498977
2025-08-17 0.002115 0.106034 0.549177 1.658384 3.758428 7.076221 12.246783
2025-08-24 0.000877 0.094658 0.547990 1.734476 4.031857 7.709527 13.491739
2025-08-31 0.000119 0.075164 0.513939 1.737894 4.182453 8.166188 14.504101
2025-09-07 0.000018 0.070519 0.529095 1.852583 4.538770 8.956296 16.026438
2025-09-14 NaN 0.061743 0.524834 1.921672 4.815030 9.627737 17.387667
2025-09-21 NaN 0.050935 0.506071 1.953139 5.022114 10.193751 18.602684
2025-09-28 NaN 0.037021 0.462084 1.914717 5.093176 10.540538 19.493809
2025-10-05 NaN 0.029751 0.444732 1.940543 5.287113 11.090824 20.701331
2025-10-12 NaN 0.023319 0.425498 1.957522 5.462756 11.613379 21.873498
2025-10-19 NaN 0.015596 0.385945 1.910498 5.506199 11.915016 22.710077
2025-10-26 NaN 0.009984 0.350098 1.865930 5.549570 12.215038 23.546946
2025-11-02 NaN 0.007151 0.333692 1.876627 5.706798 12.711119 24.695968
2025-11-09 NaN 0.003958 0.299687 1.823865 5.725113 12.967029 25.470745